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Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium
PL

Arsenal
2 - 0
PSG

Havertz (20'), Saka (35')
Calafiori (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ruiz (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Rennes
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawParis Saint-Germain
46.87% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05) 23.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 29.54% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.64% (-0.052 -0.05)41.36% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.24% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)63.75% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)17.89% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)48.67% (0.07 0.07)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34%26.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)61.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 46.87%
    Paris Saint-Germain 29.54%
    Draw 23.58%
ArsenalDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.17% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 4-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-2 Arsenal
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Atalanta 0-0 Arsenal
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Rennes
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-1 PSG
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Girona
Wednesday, September 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Brest
Saturday, September 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-3 PSG
Sunday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 6-0 Montpellier
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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