SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 16.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Girona |
64.68% ( 1.03) | 18.91% ( -0.42) | 16.4% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 58.83% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.98% ( 0.82) | 35.02% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.98% ( 0.91) | 57.01% ( -0.91) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% ( 0.49) | 10.21% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.48% ( 1.11) | 33.52% ( -1.12) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( -0.2) | 34.47% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( -0.21) | 71.18% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Girona |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.11)5-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.16% Total : 64.68% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.91% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.63% Total : 16.4% |
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