Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Benfica |
37.86% (![]() | 24.53% (![]() | 37.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.58% (![]() | 43.42% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.19% (![]() | 65.82% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% (![]() | 22.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% (![]() | 56.51% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.07% (![]() | 22.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.3% (![]() | 56.7% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 8.41% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.73% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 11.38% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.23% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.38% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.61% |
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