SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Benfica |
37.86% ( -2.47) | 24.53% ( 0.69) | 37.61% ( 1.78) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( -2.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( -3.22) | 43.42% ( 3.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( -3.25) | 65.82% ( 3.25) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( -2.61) | 22.8% ( 2.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( -4.01) | 56.51% ( 4.02) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.53) | 22.93% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.3% ( -0.79) | 56.7% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.49)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.47)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.32)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.86% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.28)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.71)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.93)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.61% |
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