SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Benfica |
46.52% ( -0.35) | 23.91% ( 0.05) | 29.57% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.07) | 42.8% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.79% ( -0.06) | 65.21% ( 0.06) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( -0.17) | 18.59% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.13% ( -0.28) | 49.87% ( 0.28) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( 0.16) | 27.36% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.17% ( 0.21) | 62.83% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 46.52% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 29.57% |
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