SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Monaco |
45.54% ( 0.76) | 25.46% ( 0.5) | 28.99% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( -2.78) | 49.95% ( 2.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( -2.54) | 71.94% ( 2.54) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.82) | 21.92% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( -1.26) | 55.19% ( 1.26) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( -2.31) | 31.4% ( 2.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( -2.77) | 67.78% ( 2.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.89) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.75)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.29)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.99% |
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