SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Feyenoord |
48.88% ( 0.59) | 23.3% ( -0.08) | 27.82% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0) | 41.1% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0) | 63.49% ( 0) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( 0.22) | 17.01% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.85% ( 0.39) | 47.15% ( -0.39) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( -0.36) | 27.7% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( -0.47) | 63.26% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.09% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.82% |
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