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Leipzig logo
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
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Aston Villa logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Openda (27'), Baumgartner (62')
Henrichs (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McGinn (3'), Duran (52'), Barkley (85')
Digne (45'), Carlos (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAston Villa
54.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.54% (0.0010000000000012 0) 23.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)41.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.76% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (0.0020000000000095 0)15.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)31.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)68.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 54.27%
    Aston Villa 23.19%
    Draw 22.54%
RB LeipzigDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.82%
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.13%
3-0 @ 5.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 23.19%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-0 Juventus
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, November 9 at 8pm in Premier League


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