Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Aston Villa |
54.27% ( 0.01) | 22.54% ( 0) | 23.19% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.81% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.17% ( -0) | 41.83% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.76% ( -0) | 64.23% ( 0) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( 0) | 15.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.84% ( 0) | 44.16% ( -0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.31% ( -0.01) | 31.69% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.89% ( -0.01) | 68.11% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.65% 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 23.19% |
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