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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 57.65%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.01%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bayern Munich |
22.61% ( 1.97) | 19.73% ( 0.81) | 57.65% ( -2.78) |
| Both teams to score 67.43% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.03% ( -1.34) | 28.97% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.06% ( -1.65) | 49.93% ( 1.66) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.77) | 24.94% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( 1.06) | 59.57% ( -1.06) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.83% ( -1.06) | 10.16% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.6% ( -2.47) | 33.4% ( 2.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 22.61% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.1)0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.32)2-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 4.01% ( -0.36)0-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.33)2-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.18)1-5 @ 1.83% ( -0.26)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.22)3-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)2-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.71% Total : 57.65% |
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