Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.05%) and 0-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
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