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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Juventus |
33.17% ( -0.11) | 24.97% ( -0.1) | 41.86% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% ( 0.41) | 46.13% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( 0.39) | 68.43% ( -0.39) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( 0.14) | 26.69% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.05% ( 0.18) | 61.95% ( -0.17) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.28) | 22.01% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( 0.42) | 55.32% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.86% |
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