Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.6%) and 3-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.4%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
