Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.49%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.