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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
RZD Arena
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Lokomotiv
1 - 2
Bayern

Miranchuk (70')
Zhivoglyadov (17'), Cerqueira (50'), Zhemaletdinov (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goretzka (13'), Kimmich (79')
Hernandez (48')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.49%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawBayern Munich
14.56%21.96%63.49%
Both teams to score 44.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97%52.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24%73.76%
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.65%47.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25%82.75%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2%15.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05%44.95%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 14.56%
    Bayern Munich 63.48%
    Draw 21.96%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawBayern Munich
1-0 @ 5.59%
2-1 @ 3.86%
2-0 @ 2.09%
3-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.56%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 7.48%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 13.8%
0-2 @ 12.73%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-3 @ 7.83%
1-3 @ 5.86%
0-4 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-5 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.01%
1-5 @ 1%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 63.48%


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