Lokomotiv
1 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Miranchuk (72' pen.)
Krychowiak (8'), Corluka (21')
Corluka (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Panchenko (37'), Causic (52'), Kostadinov (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Arsenal Tula
48.11%	26.6%	25.29%

Both teams to score 47.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.38%

56.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41%

77.59%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42%

23.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.35%

57.65%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.04%

37.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.27%

74.73%

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 48.1%

Arsenal Tula 25.29%

Draw 26.6%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Arsenal Tula
1-0 @ 12.93% 2-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.1%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 8.67% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.29%