Barcelona
0 - 0
Benfica

Pique (49')

Grimaldo (36'), Mario (49'), Vlachodimos (90+2'), Taarabt (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

We said: Barcelona 2-1 Benfica

Barcelona boss Xavi is certainly working with a more solid rearguard for this encounter, and the injection of confidence received from assuring themselves of a top-two spot will be invaluable. Benfica will not be broken down lightly and have fond memories of their September battle with Barca, but we still expect Xavi's reign to continue in perfect fashion here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Benfica
42.33%	23.63%	34.03%

Both teams to score 62.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.4%

39.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.05%

61.95%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95%

19.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.37%

50.63%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91%

23.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06%

56.94%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 42.33%

Benfica 34.03%

Draw 23.63%

Barcelona	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 8.86% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.39% Total : 42.33%	1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.03%