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Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
B

Guimaraes
3 - 3
Benfica

Andre (21'), Estupinan (45+2'), Duarte (83')
Janvier (85')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Semedo (7' og.), Pizzi (15'), Radonjic (28')
Mario (27'), Verissimo (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBenfica
22.51%23.31%54.18%
Both teams to score 54.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54%46.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69%68.31%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.4%34.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67%71.33%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11%16.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08%46.93%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.51%
    Benfica 54.18%
    Draw 23.31%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 6.2%
2-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 3.29%
3-1 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.51%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-2 @ 9.24%
1-3 @ 5.82%
0-3 @ 5.48%
2-3 @ 3.09%
1-4 @ 2.59%
0-4 @ 2.44%
2-4 @ 1.37%
1-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.18%

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