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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
HL

B. Leverkusen
0 - 3
Hoffenheim


Diaby (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 Hoffenheim

Goals feel like an absolute given in this game, with both teams generally more comfortable attacking than defending. As such, predicting a result seems tricky, but Leverkusen's losing run surely has to come to an end sooner or later and we can see them picking up a vital victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHoffenheim
59.16% (-0.401 -0.4) 20.61% (0.334 0.33) 20.23% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 60.28% (-1.122 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.41% (-1.51 -1.51)36.59% (1.512 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.26% (-1.663 -1.66)58.74% (1.665 1.67)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.87% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)12.13% (0.58 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28% (-1.236 -1.24)37.72% (1.239 1.24)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-0.81700000000001 -0.82)31.39% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (-0.957 -0.96)67.76% (0.95999999999999 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.16%
    Hoffenheim 20.23%
    Draw 20.61%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.246 0.25)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.411 0.41)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.134 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.277 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.41% (0.227 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 20.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Frankfurt
Monday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Rodinghausen 0-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-4 Freiburg
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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