MX23RW : Tuesday, August 16 12:44:23
S
SEARCH
M
SA
Aug 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK at Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund
1 - 0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

We expect to see a highly entertaining, high-scoring affair between two attacking teams on Saturday. Both meetings saw seven goals scored at either end last season, but we expect the hosts to just edge it having looked more ready for the new season in the DFB-Pokal last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.68%) and 1-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
45.96% (1.282 1.28) 21.44% (-0.303 -0.3) 32.6% (-0.979 -0.98)
Both teams to score 70.11% (0.762 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.86% (1.146 1.15)29.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.86% (1.389 1.39)50.14% (-1.389 -1.39)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (0.87299999999999 0.87)13.54% (-0.872 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.39% (1.717 1.72)40.61% (-1.717 -1.72)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)18.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.6% (0.103 0.1)50.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 45.96%
    Bayer Leverkusen 32.6%
    Draw 21.44%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.176 0.18)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.176 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.73% (0.155 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.174 0.17)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.149 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.101 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.31% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.103 0.1)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-2 @ 7.1% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.63% (0.091 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-1 @ 4.26% (-0.281 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.09% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 32.6%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, July 30 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: 1860 Munich 0-3 Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 7.46pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dortmund 0-2 Villarreal
Friday, July 22 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 1-3 Valencia
Monday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Verl 0-5 Dortmund
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, July 9 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Elversberg 4-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 Frankfurt
Monday, May 2 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Greuther Furth 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-1 RB Leipzig
Sunday, April 17 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
You May Like

Subscribe to our Newsletter


Match previews - Daily
Transfer Talk Daily
Morning Briefing (7am UTC)
UC
Get the latest transfer news, match previews and news direct to your inbox!
Read more!

Subscribe to our Newsletter


Match previews - Daily
Transfer Talk Daily
Morning Briefing (7am UTC)
UC
Get the latest transfer news, match previews and news direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.

history www


. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .