MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 20:57:48
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Wednesday, February 12
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Leverkusen logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Sparta Prague

Wirtz (32'), Tella (64')
Xhaka (66'), Andrich (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Birmancevic (36'), Olatunji (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 Sparta Prague

Given Sparta have already been eliminated from the competition, it would be surprising if they put up much resistance against their hosts. Leverkusen could score multiple goals on Wednesday considering the visitors have been poor defensively in the Champions League, and they should be confident of qualifying automatically for the round of 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 81.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.18%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSparta Prague
81.3% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 11.66% (0.0010000000000012 0) 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Both teams to score 54.28% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.85% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.89% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.35% (0.00099999999999056 0)4.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Sparta Prague Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)43.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)79.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 81.3%
    Sparta Prague 7.04%
    Draw 11.66%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawSparta Prague
3-0 @ 9.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 7.94%
4-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 6.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 4.54%
5-1 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.62%
6-0 @ 2.32%
6-1 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-0 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 81.3%
1-1 @ 5.18%
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 11.66%
1-2 @ 2.18%
0-1 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 7.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 Mainz
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 Freiburg
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 2-1 Jablonec
Sunday, December 15 at 12pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Feyenoord 4-2 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-0 Bohemians 1905
Saturday, December 7 at 6pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 4-1 MFK Karvina
Tuesday, December 3 at 6pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Dukla Prague 1-1 Sparta Prague
Saturday, November 30 at 6pm in Czech Liga


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