While Leverkusen may finally penetrate Inter's rock-solid rearguard, their lack of a conventional striker could cost them a chance to defeat their Italian counterparts.
The Nerazzurri are past masters at soaking up pressure, and they have both the composure and confidence to strike hard on the counter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.14) 
