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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
33.08% ( -3.3) | 23.69% ( -0.12) | 43.23% ( 3.43) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.85% ( -0.14) | 40.15% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.48% ( -0.14) | 62.52% ( 0.15) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -1.85) | 23.88% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( -2.74) | 58.09% ( 2.74) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( 1.47) | 18.89% ( -1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( 2.39) | 50.37% ( -2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.46) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.51)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.59)1-3 @ 4.98% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.47)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.25)Other @ 3.43% Total : 43.23% |
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