SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
45.58% ( 0.46) | 24.68% ( -0.14) | 29.73% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( 0.48) | 46.2% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( 0.45) | 68.49% ( -0.45) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( 0.4) | 20.35% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.26% ( 0.63) | 52.74% ( -0.63) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.02) | 28.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.03) | 64.85% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Lille |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.73% |
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