Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Bologna |
64.44% ( 0.5) | 20.81% ( -0.14) | 14.75% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.95% ( -0.07) | 47.05% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.71% ( -0.07) | 69.29% ( 0.07) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.14% ( 0.13) | 13.87% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.74% ( 0.25) | 41.26% ( -0.25) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.96% ( -0.54) | 44.04% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.85% ( -0.45) | 80.15% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 64.43% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 20.81% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.75% |
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