Having had a little extra time on the training ground, Vincenzo Italiano could guide his ailing Bologna side to an overdue victory, prevailing by a single goal in Sardinia.
After throwing away two points against Genoa in their last league outing, the Emilians can conquer Cagliari and record just a second away win of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
0.61) 
-0.8) 
