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Thursday, March 28
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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
PD

Porto
2 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Pepe (77'), Oliveira (78')
Fernandes Conceicao (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Costa (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawPacos de Ferreira
62.81%21.47%15.71%
Both teams to score 48.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99%48.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.81%70.19%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32%14.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.15%42.85%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.7%43.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45%79.55%
Score Analysis
    Porto 62.8%
    Pacos de Ferreira 15.71%
    Draw 21.47%
PortoDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-0 @ 11.7%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 6.26%
4-0 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.62%
5-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.26%
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 62.8%
1-1 @ 10.2%
0-0 @ 6.36%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 5.32%
1-2 @ 4.27%
0-2 @ 2.23%
1-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 15.71%

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