Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
