SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Chelsea |
| 52.63% | 22.35% | 25.02% |
| Both teams to score 60.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.97% | 39.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.65% | 61.35% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% | 14.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.66% | 43.34% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% | 28.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.51% | 64.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 4.04% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.02% |
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