Porto
0 - 2
Chelsea

Mbemba (63'), Conceicao (74'), Grujic (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mount (32'), Chilwell (85')

Preview

Jorginho: 'Last-eight tie against Porto is not finished'

Thomas Tuchel lavishes praise on Mason Mount

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Porto	Draw	Chelsea
52.63%	22.35%	25.02%

Both teams to score 60.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.97%

39.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.65%

61.35%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.06%

14.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.66%

43.34%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33%

28.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51%

64.49%

Score Analysis

Porto 52.63%

Chelsea 25.02%

Draw 22.35%

Porto	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 4.91% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 4.04% Total : 52.63%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.35%	1-2 @ 6.35% 0-1 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 3.34% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.02%