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JL
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Juventus Stadium
P

Juventus
3 - 2
Porto

Chiesa (49', 63'), Rabiot (117')
Chiesa (90+3'), Cuadrado (92'), Bernardeschi (103'), Rabiot (114')
FT
(aet)
Oliveira (19' pen., 115')
Otavio (45+2'), Taremi (52'), Oliveira (97'), Mbemba (120+2')
Taremi (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Porto had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%).

Result
JuventusDrawPorto
47.99%23.54%28.46%
Both teams to score 59.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.24%41.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83%64.16%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39%17.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82%48.18%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41%27.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89%63.11%
Score Analysis
    Juventus 47.99%
    Porto 28.46%
    Draw 23.53%
JuventusDrawPorto
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 47.99%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 7%
0-1 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.73%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 28.46%

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