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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 3, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
SC

Porto
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Oliveira (49' pen.), Martinez (90+5')
Manafa (53'), Leite (54'), Martinez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carlos (56' pen.)
Pereira (47'), Carlos (73'), Nene (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 11.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.97%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawSanta Clara
69.35%19.59%11.06%
Both teams to score 41.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84%50.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88%72.12%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64%13.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.74%40.25%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.05%51.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.03%85.97%
Score Analysis
    Porto 69.35%
    Santa Clara 11.06%
    Draw 19.59%
PortoDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 14.06%
1-0 @ 13.97%
3-0 @ 9.44%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-1 @ 6.18%
4-0 @ 4.75%
4-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.02%
5-0 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 69.35%
1-1 @ 9.15%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 3.02%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 19.59%
0-1 @ 4.55%
1-2 @ 3%
0-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.06%

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