Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
