Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
