Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 73.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 9.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
