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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge
CP

Chelsea
4 - 0
Crystal Palace

Chilwell (50'), Zouma (66'), Jorginho (78' pen., 82' pen.)
Azpilicueta (64'), Kante (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 73.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.45%) and 3-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawCrystal Palace
73.51%17.18%9.31%
Both teams to score 42.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.11%44.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76%67.24%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31%10.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.4%34.6%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.9%52.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.93%86.07%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 73.5%
    Crystal Palace 9.31%
    Draw 17.18%
ChelseaDrawCrystal Palace
2-0 @ 13.92%
1-0 @ 12.45%
3-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 6.77%
4-0 @ 5.8%
4-1 @ 3.78%
5-0 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.21%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.23%
6-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 73.5%
1-1 @ 8.12%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 17.18%
0-1 @ 3.63%
1-2 @ 2.65%
0-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 9.31%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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