SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Dinamo Tbilisi win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | Dinamo Tbilisi |
42.76% ( 0.27) | 25.22% ( -0.07) | 32.02% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( 0.25) | 47.59% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.23) | 69.79% ( -0.23) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.79% ( 0.23) | 22.21% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.37% ( 0.35) | 55.63% ( -0.36) |
| Dinamo Tbilisi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0) | 28.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( -0) | 63.81% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Astana | Draw | Dinamo Tbilisi |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.76% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.02% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
