SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Young Boys | 35 | 27 | 57 |
| 4 | Lugano | 36 | -1 | 57 |
| 5 | St Gallen | 35 | 1 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC Zurich | 35 | 33 | 76 |
| 2 | Basel | 35 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 35 | 27 | 57 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
30.03% ( -4.63) | 23.79% ( -0.46) | 46.17% ( 5.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.85% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( 0.41) | 41.99% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.6% ( 0.41) | 64.39% ( -0.42) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -2.6) | 26.64% ( 2.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -3.57) | 61.88% ( 3.56) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( 2.37) | 18.41% ( -2.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% ( 3.86) | 49.56% ( -3.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.71) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.64)2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.79)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.59)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.52)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.29)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.03% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.5) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.86)1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.64)0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.73)2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.41)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.41)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.53% Total : 46.17% |
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