Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	FC Zurich
30.03% ( -4.63)	23.79% ( -0.46)	46.17% ( 5.09)

Both teams to score 59.85% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.01% (

0.41)

41.99% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.6% (

0.41)

64.39% (

-0.42)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

-2.6)

26.64% (

2.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

-3.57)

61.88% (

3.56)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

2.37)

18.41% (

-2.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.43% (

3.86)

49.56% (

-3.87)

Score Analysis

Lugano 30.03%

FC Zurich 46.17%

Draw 23.78%

Lugano	Draw	FC Zurich
2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.71) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.64) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.79) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.59) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.52) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.29) Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.03%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.5) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.86) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.64) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.73) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.41) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.41) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.53% Total : 46.17%