SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Lille had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Lille |
51.53% ( 0.14) | 22.9% ( 0.01) | 25.57% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.91% ( -0.17) | 41.09% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.51% ( -0.17) | 63.49% ( 0.17) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( -0.01) | 16.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.58% ( -0.02) | 45.42% ( 0.02) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( -0.2) | 29.35% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( -0.25) | 65.33% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.52% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.27% Total : 25.57% |
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