Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Lille |
27.25% ( 0.33) | 24.47% ( 0.07) | 48.28% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 55.55% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.24% ( -0.07) | 46.76% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.98% ( -0.06) | 69.02% ( 0.07) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( 0.22) | 31.05% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% ( 0.26) | 67.36% ( -0.25) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% ( -0.19) | 19.44% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.73% ( -0.32) | 51.27% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.25% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.47% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.28% |
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