SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Genk had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Genk win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Lille |
30.02% ( 0.04) | 24.45% ( 0.02) | 45.53% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.98% ( -0.06) | 45.02% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.63% ( -0.06) | 67.37% ( 0.06) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( -0.01) | 28.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% ( -0.01) | 63.86% ( 0.01) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( -0.05) | 19.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( -0.08) | 52.01% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.02% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 45.53% |
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