SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.61%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Qarabag FK |
53.98% ( 0.02) | 20.64% ( -0.01) | 25.38% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 67.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.7% ( 0.02) | 30.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.45% ( 0.02) | 51.55% ( -0.02) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.45% ( 0.01) | 11.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.53% ( 0.02) | 36.47% ( -0.02) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.3% | 23.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.18% ( -0) | 57.81% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.91% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 25.38% |
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