Zalgiris
1 - 3
Ferencvaros

(Ferencvaros win 5-1 on aggregate)

Hadji Pape Diaw (90+3')
Hadji Pape Diaw (28'), Onazi (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mmaee (44', 72'), Mak (90+4')
Csontos Zoltan (34'), Siger (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FK Zalgiris and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	Ferencvaros
37.26%	24.76%	37.98%

Both teams to score 58.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.46%

44.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09%

66.91%

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38%

23.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3%

57.7%

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76%

23.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84%

57.16%

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 37.26%

Ferencvaros 37.98%

Draw 24.76%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	Ferencvaros
2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.26%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.98%