SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 37.26% | 24.76% | 37.98% |
| Both teams to score 58.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.46% | 44.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% | 66.91% |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% | 23.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.3% | 57.7% |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% | 23.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.84% | 57.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.26% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.08% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.98% |
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