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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Groupama Aréna

Ferencvaros
2 - 0
Zalgiris

Uzuni (25'), Nguen (39')
Kharatin (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gamakov (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawFK Zalgiris
43.93%24.91%31.16%
Both teams to score 56.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47%46.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2%68.8%
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.78%21.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.89%54.11%
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84%28.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.15%63.85%
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 43.93%
    FK Zalgiris 31.16%
    Draw 24.9%
FerencvarosDrawFK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 9.26%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.57%
1-2 @ 7.44%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 3.14%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.16%

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