The first leg was a lot closer than expected, but we are finding it difficult to back Ballkani to triumph on Tuesday evening. Zalgiris, arguably, have the superior quality in their squad, and we are expecting them to advance to the next round of the competition with a 3-1 aggregate success.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
