Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.