Ballkani will believe that they need to pick up a strong result in the first leg to stand a chance of progressing to the second qualifying round, but we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than an away success due to the gap in quality between the two sets of players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.78%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a KF Ballkani win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
KF Ballkani	Draw	FK Zalgiris
13.69% ( -0.01)	20.96% ( -0.02)	65.34% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.09% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

0.03)

49.79% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.2% (

0.03)

71.79% (

-0.03)

KF Ballkani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.72% (

-0)

47.27% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.3% (

-0)

82.69% (

-0)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

0.02)

14.46% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

0.04)

42.43% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

KF Ballkani 13.69%

FK Zalgiris 65.34%

Draw 20.96%

KF Ballkani	Draw	FK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.71% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.01% Total : 13.69%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.96%	0-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 12.78% 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.54% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 65.34%