SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 3-2 (5.11%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | The New Saints |
48.64% ( 1.28) | 20.63% ( 0.03) | 30.73% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 72.26% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.01% ( -0.88) | 25.99% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.79% ( -1.14) | 46.2% ( 1.14) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.44% ( 0.05) | 11.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.51% ( 0.1) | 36.49% ( -0.1) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -1.08) | 18.3% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( -1.87) | 49.38% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.29)1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.12)4-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.07% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.18)0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.14)3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.52% Total : 30.73% |
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