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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Apr 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Maes Tegid

Bala Town
0 - 2
New Saints


Kay (53'), Venables (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McManus (56'), Brobbel (59')
Baker (68')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Newtown
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawThe New Saints
17.03% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 21.34% (0.0010000000000012 0) 61.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)45.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.46% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12% (0.011000000000003 0.01)39.88% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (0.009999999999998 0.01)76.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.73%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 17.03%
    The New Saints 61.62%
    Draw 21.33%
Bala TownDrawThe New Saints
1-0 @ 5.17%
2-1 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 17.03%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 7.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.48%
0-4 @ 3.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.46%
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 61.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Newtown
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-2 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-2 Bala Town
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 0-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 18 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Bala Town
Monday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 3-2 Bala Town
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 2-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 0-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 7-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 New Saints
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-1 Bala Town
Monday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League


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