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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 79.09%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 7.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.38%) and 0-1 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
7.06% ( 0.12) | 13.86% ( -0.03) | 79.09% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.68% ( 0.67) | 37.32% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.47% ( 0.71) | 59.54% ( -0.71) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.57% ( 0.8) | 52.43% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.72% ( 0.51) | 86.28% ( -0.51) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.47% ( 0.13) | 7.53% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73% ( 0.33) | 27% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.38% Total : 7.06% | 1-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.57% Total : 13.86% | 0-2 @ 13.2% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 11.38% ( -0.14)0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.27)1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 7.36% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.35% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 4.75% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 3.81% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.46% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.08)0-6 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)1-6 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.43% Total : 79.07% |
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