SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 9.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.51%) and 0-3 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | The New Saints |
9.99% ( 0.02) | 17.16% ( 0.01) | 72.85% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( 0.01) | 42.69% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.91% ( 0.01) | 65.09% ( -0) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.75% ( 0.04) | 49.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.87% ( 0.03) | 84.13% ( -0.03) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.72% ( -0) | 10.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.34% ( -0.01) | 33.66% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 3.59% ( 0) 2-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 9.99% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 17.16% | 0-2 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 9.94% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4% 0-5 @ 2.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)0-6 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.05% Total : 72.83% |
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