SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 9.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
74.15% ( -0) | 16.31% ( 0) | 9.54% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.81% ( -0.01) | 40.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.44% ( -0.01) | 62.56% ( 0.01) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.68% ( -0) | 9.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.57% ( -0.01) | 31.42% ( 0.01) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.48% ( -0.01) | 48.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.39% ( -0.01) | 83.61% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.72% 3-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 74.14% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.71% Total : 16.32% | 0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.28% Total : 9.54% |
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