SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.28%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 5.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.72%) and 1-0 (12.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
80.28% ( 0.22) | 13.9% ( -0.11) | 5.81% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 36.55% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( 0.07) | 42.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( 0.07) | 65.39% ( -0.07) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% ( 0.07) | 8.55% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.43% ( 0.17) | 29.57% ( -0.17) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.97% ( -0.3) | 60.03% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.33% ( -0.15) | 90.66% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 2-0 @ 15.51% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 12.72% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 12.61% 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 80.27% | 1-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 13.9% | 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.55% Total : 5.81% |
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