SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Lahti | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | IFK Mariehamn | 10 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 10 | -13 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 12 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 10 | 9 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
16.71% ( 0.02) | 22.99% ( 0.01) | 60.3% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.61% ( -0.01) | 52.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( -0.01) | 74.07% ( 0.01) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.02) | 44.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.38% ( 0.02) | 80.62% ( -0.02) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( -0.01) | 17.01% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% ( -0.02) | 47.14% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.71% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 13.44% 0-2 @ 11.9% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.61% 0-3 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.6% Total : 60.29% |
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