SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 12 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 13 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 11 | 10 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 12 | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 13 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 11 | 10 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
34.71% ( -1.67) | 26.96% ( 0.18) | 38.33% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 50.94% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% ( -0.82) | 54.29% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( -0.69) | 75.68% ( 0.69) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( -1.43) | 29.71% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.24% ( -1.77) | 65.76% ( 1.77) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.48) | 27.54% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( 0.61) | 63.05% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 2% Total : 38.32% |
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