SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 10 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 11 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Honka | 9 | 7 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ilves | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Haka | 10 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 9 | 3 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Haka had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Haka |
51.28% ( 1.36) | 24.37% ( -0.47) | 24.34% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( 1.16) | 48.69% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( 1.04) | 70.8% ( -1.05) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( 1) | 18.98% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.47% ( 1.64) | 50.52% ( -1.65) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% ( -0.15) | 34.44% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% ( -0.16) | 71.15% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 5% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.13% Total : 51.28% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.34% |
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